Trump warns of strike capability against Iranian leaders gathered at Khamenei funeral

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, July 6, 2026 
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President Donald Trump told Axios that a single strike could take out the Iranian leaders assembled at Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's six-day funeral in Tehran, then explained why the United States would not do it.

"They are all there. One shot," Trump said in an interview published Friday night. But he added a strategic caveat: "We are not going to do that because then we would have nobody to negotiate with."

The remark lands at a volatile moment. A fragile ceasefire between Washington and Tehran holds after an initial peace deal signed last month. Negotiating teams paused talks for a week so Iranian leaders could attend the funeral. And inside Iran, millions of mourners are flooding the streets of Tehran, some weeping, some chanting "Death to America!" and "We will kill, we will kill he who killed our Imam."

Trump was unmoved by the display. "Maybe it's fake tears," he said.

The funeral and the power vacuum

Khamenei, who ruled Iran for 37 years, was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28. His son Mojtaba Khamenei took over as Supreme Leader shortly afterward, but has not been seen in public since assuming the title. The Sun reported that Mojtaba was reportedly severely disfigured in the same strikes that killed his father, and that security officials banned him from attending the funeral over fears that Israel would target him there.

The concern was specific. Sources from the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps told the New York Times that even if Israel did not attack Mojtaba at the funeral itself, they would likely track him back to his secret hideout.

Mojtaba had reportedly asked to perform rites over his father's body on the ceremony's final day. He was denied. His current whereabouts remain unknown.

A procession across Shi'ite holy cities

The funeral procession is enormous in both scale and geography. Up to 20 million Iranians are expected to participate across the six-day ceremony, which entered its second day Sunday. Khamenei's body is being taken from Tehran to Qom, then across the border to the great Shi'ite centers of Najaf and Kerbala in Iraq, before returning to Iran for burial in Mashhad on Thursday.

The guest list tells its own story about who still stands with the Iranian regime. Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif attended, Pakistan brokered the U.S.-Iran peace talks. Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev was there. So was Amir Khan Muttaqi, the Afghan Taliban's foreign minister. Delegations from Iraq, Armenia, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Oman also sent representatives.

That roster is a reminder: even after a devastating military strike on its leadership, Iran retains a network of allies and partners willing to pay public respects.

The crackdown that preceded the strike

Khamenei's death came just one month after he ordered a sweeping security crackdown on anti-regime protesters in January. The regime arrested tens of thousands. Roughly the same number were killed. Some human rights groups put the death toll as high as 37,000.

That sequence matters. The man being mourned by millions in the streets of Tehran had, weeks before his death, authorized a campaign of mass killing against Iranian civilians who dared to protest his rule. The crowds chanting for revenge are mourning a leader whose final major act was turning his own security forces on his own people.

None of that context has stopped the spectacle. Mourners chanted "Our slogan is one word: Revenge, revenge" as the procession moved through Tehran.

Trump's negotiating posture

Trump framed the funeral pause as a deliberate act of diplomatic restraint. "We gave them a week off for a funeral because we're nice," he said. He described Tehran as "dying to settle" and said Iran was "begging to make a deal."

The terms of the initial peace deal remain unclear. What is known is that a ceasefire is in place and that both sides have negotiating teams engaged. Trump's public comments suggest he views the U.S. position as dominant, and that the funeral, far from being a moment of Iranian strength, is a display of vulnerability.

His "one shot" remark was not a threat. It was a statement of capability paired with restraint. The message to Tehran's surviving leadership was plain: the United States could act but chooses not to, because it wants a deal more than a crater.

The missing Supreme Leader

The most telling detail may be Mojtaba Khamenei's absence from his own father's funeral. A new Supreme Leader too damaged and too endangered to appear in public, banned by his own security apparatus from performing burial rites, speaks to the depth of the blow the February 28 strikes delivered to the regime's command structure.

Whether Mojtaba can govern from hiding, and whether the IRGC's fears about Israeli tracking are justified, remain open questions. But a Supreme Leader who cannot attend the funeral of his predecessor is not projecting strength. He is projecting survival.

Meanwhile, the crowds chant for revenge against a country whose president just reminded the world, on the record, that he could have ended the ceremony with a single order, and chose not to.

That restraint is the negotiating leverage. Whether Iran's surviving leaders are wise enough to recognize it will determine what comes after the burial in Mashhad.

When your new Supreme Leader can't show his face at his own father's funeral, "Death to America" is not a threat. It's a coping mechanism.

About Jonah Adams

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