Poll: New Yorkers foresee chaos under Mamdani but will back him for mayor

By 
, October 30, 2025 
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Zohran Mamdani, a 34-year-old Democratic Socialist, is poised to take the reins of City Hall with a commanding lead in the polls, despite widespread fears his policies could drag the city back to the gritty decay of the 1980s, as the Daily Mail reports.

A recent JL Partners poll for the Daily Mail, conducted between Oct. 23 and 26 among 500 registered voters, reveals Mamdani holding a 15-point lead over former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, with 46% support to Cuomo’s 31%, while Republican Curtis Sliwa trails at 22% ahead of the November 4 election.

Born in Uganda and raised in New York since age seven, Mamdani comes from a privileged background -- think private Manhattan schooling with fees now at $66,000 a year. Yet champions a progressive agenda that promises rent freezes, free buses, universal daycare, city-run grocery stores, and a $30 minimum wage.

Mamdani’s bold promises of tax hikes

To fund this ambitious platform, Mamdani plans to hike taxes on the wealthy and corporations, including a 2% bump for those earning over $1 million annually and a corporate tax rate jump from 7.25% to 11.5%.

Among Democrats, he’s a darling -- 54% back him compared to Cuomo’s 26%, and among under-30 voters, he enjoys a staggering 35-point lead over his nearest rival.

Yet, even his supporters harbor doubts; while 52% of Democrats think he’ll make housing more affordable, more of his own base believe he’ll worsen antisemitism in the city than improve it.

Fears of crime, urban decline persist

The broader public isn’t buying the utopia either -- 47% of New Yorkers predict crime and violence will spike under Mamdani, with only 32% expecting safer streets. A divide starkly felt among over-65 voters, where 50% foresee danger compared to just 26% who don’t.

Subway safety is already a raw nerve, with felony assaults up 55% since 2019, 25 track-pushing incidents in 2024, and tragic cases like the December death of Debrina Kawam, a 57-year-old homeless woman burned alive near Coney Island.

Then there’s the economy -- 43% expect fewer businesses under Mamdani’s watch, with only 23% anticipating growth, painting a picture of shuttered storefronts and a city sliding into economic malaise.

Antisemitism concerns loom large

Antisemitism, already at a record high with 9,354 incidents nationwide in 2024 per the Anti-Defamation League, is another flashpoint—45% of New Yorkers think it’ll worsen under Mamdani, against 21% who see improvement. That's a fear that even cuts through his Democratic Party base.

Adding fuel to the fire, Mamdani recently posted a social media photo with Imam Siraj Wahhaj, named by federal prosecutors as an unindicted potential co-conspirator in the 1993 World Trade Center bombing, though Wahhaj was never charged and denies involvement.

Critics pounced when Mamdani gave an emotional speech outside a mosque about his “aunt” avoiding the subway post-9/11 due to hijab-related fears, later clarifying it was his father’s cousin, Zehra Fuhi, who has since passed away.

Opposition splits, yielding Mamdani lead

Terry Strada, who lost her husband in the 9/11 attacks, told the Daily Mail, “I find what he had to say completely insulting to all of the people that suffered a horrible loss that day.”

Strada’s words sting, and it’s hard to disagree -- equating personal discomfort with the scale of that national tragedy feels like a misstep, especially when 39% of voters already fear Mamdani’s leadership could heighten terrorism risks.

Pollster James Johnson of J.L. Partners summed it up: “Mamdani is on course for a win -- aided and abetted by his chief rivals.” With Cuomo unpopular among Republicans and Sliwa facing a 70% Democratic Party-leaning city, the opposition’s fracture hands Mamdani the keys, despite non-supporters describing a future New York as “disaster,” “chaos,” or worse.

About Alex Tanzer

Alex writes about politics, power, and the people making decisions everyone else has to live with. His work centers on accountability, media narratives, and policy fallout—without the jargon or spin. With a clean, direct style, Alex aims to make political news readable, useful, and occasionally entertaining.

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